Associated Press/John Minchillo
Millions of Americans will go to their local polling places on November 8 to vote for the next President — and despite the near-hysteria of alleged targeting of election systems — hackers will have nothing to do with the outcome.
That's the big takeaway to come from a House subcommittee hearing last week on the subject of election security, in which five experts testified that, for the most part, the election cannot be "rigged" by hackers, since every state has their own standards and uses a variety of voting machines, and not a single electronic machine is connected to the Internet.
"On 8 November, can a cyberattack change the outcome of our national elections?" asked Rep. Wiliam Hurd (R-Texas) of the panel, which included representatives from DHS, the Election Assistance Commission, and two cybersecurity experts who have done extensive research into electronic voting machines.
"I'm confident that that will not be the case," said Lawrence Norden, the deputy direction of the Democracy Program at New York University School of Law. No other panelist disagreed with that assessment.
'We have overall confidence in the system'
Department of Homeland Security (DHS) researchers REUTERS/Chris Morgan
It's important to mention that the US election system is fraught with issues, but it's not as bad as some make it seem. As Norden had outlined in a voluminous report published in 2015, America's voting machines are incredibly old, but that mostly means a risk of crashes or software failure, not hacking.
There have been recent reports of hackers targeting voter registration systems in at least 20 states. In Arizona and Illinois, for example, intrusions of voter databases were found. In both cases, though, no changes were made to those systems, and the systems that were breached have "nothing to do with vote casting or counting," Kay Stimson, a spokesperson for the National Association of Secretaries of State, told AP.
"There is also wide speculation around the current 'probing' activity directed at online voter registration sites," Tod Beardsley, senior security manager at Rapid7, told Business Insider in a statement. "In isolation, this might seem alarming. However, all online systems are 'probed' all the time."
No matter what scenario we can dream up about a hacker changing election results, they all boil down to one thing: Physical access. As both the cybersecurity experts and government officials testified, electronic voting machines that are currently in use are not connected to the Internet, and there's no easy way to remotely attack them over a network.
So if the Russian government or some teenage member of Anonymous wants to elect their candidate, such an effort is going to take a lot of manpower, time, and coordination. "Such an attack is literally incredible," Beardsley explained. " While this sort of infiltration is possible, such a campaign would require formidable espionage assets, have a high risk of being detected before the election, and the effects would be noticeable in bizarrely inaccurate exit polling during and after the election."
"Even though individual parts of the system may be vulnerable," said Dr. Andy Ozment, assistant secretary for cybersecurity and communications at DHS. "We have overall confidence in the system."
So how can a hacker change votes?